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The shaken Economy and inter-twined Geopolitics.

The Fallouts, movers and shakers.

This lockdown has brought in many perspectives that are happening in the world, brings out inherent human nature to the forefront and history will remember every action we as an individual, society or as a country do. Remember, the world will remember this. Our maiming by this virus has brought the finest and ugliest of us.

As the famous proverb goes, a small ant can make the elephant dance to its tune, the same has happened to us and actually we have been doing the same to mother nature as well. Just compare the size of an ant to elephant, virus to human and human to the size of the earth. Still !!!

The demand to hold China responsible for hiding facts and letting the world slip in this precarious situation is growing spearheaded by the US. Australia, Japan and some countries have joined the blame game. West Europe is still cautious due to many factors; however, East Europe is praising China for its help to them. India as a major stakeholder in world politics is as always diplomatic and cautious, a strategy which has worked for it most of the time.

From now on, countries will rally against China to disrupt the world order. We have realized that China under Xi Jinping is too authoritarian and is detrimental to global peace. While it gave the world a pandemic, due to its ruthless regime it was able to control it and now flexing its muscle in the south china sea, while the countries are a busy fighting virus. Same goes with its selling of PPE’s, faulty masks and test kits.

However, I don’t believe this is a society in general in China. Today its clout has helped saved itself from being penalized for such grievous and deliberate mistake and still covered up by WHO itself.

It got Pakistan the emergency bail-out package, and in repayment the very next day Pakistan blocked an area in the Arabian sea to test out anti-ship missile and armament testing, giving India a solid hint through Pakistan that it should not have suggested recasting of WHO.

Read more:

https://romieducation.com/2020/04/21/while-trying-to-find-the-root-of-hatred-and-absurdity-of-us-found-modi-ji-is-trying-the-same/

https://romieducation.com/2020/04/16/to-fight-over-religion-communism-caste-and-allowing-other-countries-to-point-a-finger-on-us-is-this-what-we-want/

We are still intrigued by why paradox has happened. West Europe and the US with great public health Infra saw high infection and death, and on the other hand South Asia somehow miraculously escaped the wrath of Virus.

India is a special case, rotting health infra, lack of doctors, not enough money, lack of protective equipment’s and many more and still, we showed the world, on why India’s frugal approach is efficient and effective.

Well, many factors are at play here.

Did universal BCG program help us?

As a population have our bodies developed a better defence against the virus as we are always exposed to the unhygienic situation?

Not sure enough. But what we know is that we implemented lockdown early, we gave priority to human lives rather than economy and we remained steadfast despite a lot of hurdles like religious gathering, attack of doctors and police, communalization and many more.

While the world is fighting for Ventilators, PPE’s, masks, we are doing our best by making some and importing some. Salute to ICMR, which quietly deviated from WHO guidelines and stood grounds on its plan.

The Economy is in shambles, the majority are losers, but some are winners as well. Radhakishan Damani, the owner of Avenue supermart running as D-Mart I believe should be the only winner in this lockdown where he gained from panic buying.

Let’s move from an individual perspective, we saw the Kirana store as the real winner brought to the forefront during these difficult times. E-commerce and supermarkets collapse suggest that slow and steady wins the race, and old is gold!! We will not be surprised to see now that manufacturers shifting gears towards channel programs benefiting these mom and pop stores. Remember, Kirana stores are much more street smart and ingenious, as another channel have too much dependency, be it delivering personal, corporate formulated protocols and supply chain or many more. We definitely will see a lot of behavioural change, government prioritizing public health spending, R&D spending and many more.

If you ever thought the defence sector is going to take a hit after this, you cannot be more wrong. We saw an increase in digital payments in some sectors which traditionally not have had much traction, maybe people will have some apprehension in exchanging cash for time to come.

We saw China’s opportunistic takeover and Gov. of India bringing new laws in FDI policy. If we look closely, everything is intertwined in itself. China increased its stake in HDFC and HDFC in Reliance Capital. Majority of investment in the digital industry can be traced back to one country. Guess who is the majority investor in Paytm?

Geo-politics and economy are intertwined in itself in this globalized world. Let’s analyze this correlation in major economies.

The US wants to maintain its supremacy and by attacking WHO, we know who it is attacking.

China recovered early and hence its economy is back on track, forcing the US to accept the deaths yet not slow down the economy. Japan, Germany, Australia coming together and trying to hold China responsible. India despite being in lockdown mode not leaving any stones unturned to make sure Its adjoining countries do not shift their gears again towards China and also use its soft power. Be it allowing exports of essential medicines like paracetamol and Hydroxichroloquine or donating to Nepal and Bangladesh.

RBI accepting Sri Lankan gov. offer of deposit as bonds. China flexing its muscle in South China sea and threatening Vietnam by allowing illegal fishing of Chinese fisherman backed by its navy in Vietnamese waters because it recently did an exercise with US Navy or making sure Pakistan gets emergency bailout and the very next day Pakistan testing missile and doing gunnery exercise, giving India direct message that it is not happy with India’s proposition in recasting WHO.

India bringing new FDI scrutiny to save itself from opportunistic takeovers yet government deliberately not falling into trap of blame game as it needs help from wherever possible. It remains to be seen how it handles again the 5G war which has again returned due to US and China strife. Major world power rushing to help Africa, not actual help but showdown to grab as much goodwill possible and remove China’s clout. Russia sending in planeloads of the mask and other essentials as a goodwill gesture to the US, and North Korea and Iran using this apt time to fire as many missiles as possible as the world is busy saving themselves.

Bringing forward these perspectives help us see through the prism that how we behaved during these times which will have major ramifications for the time to come.

Know my opinions every Sunday.

Must read:

https://romieducation.com/2020/03/29/coronavirus-world-in-distress-seeking-answer-from-who-china/

https://romieducation.com/2020/03/30/coronavirus-world-in-distress-seeking-answer-from-who-china-2/

https://romieducation.com/2020/04/07/who-is-responsible-for-spreading-so-much-of-hatred-and-communalism/

https://romieducation.com/2020/04/12/convalescent-plasma-therapy-approved-for-covid19/

https://romieducation.com/2020/04/11/modis-macro-actions-have-worked-now-india-needs-micro-focus/

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coronavirus Educational blogs Health & beauty Life-related blogs politics and geopolitics

The virus is scary but Trump’s suggestions are even scarier.

Update: Twitter on Friday has said that the video clips of President Donald Trump don’t violate the rules of COVID-19 misinformation policy.

Never thought of such a terrific idea of preventing from COVID-19 coming out from the President of such a great nation!!

Bill Bryan, Department of Homeland security presented the following measures to fight with Coronavirus. He mentioned about sunlight, isopropyl alcohol, bleach which can be used to kill the virus.

Isopropyl alcohol can clean the virus in 30 sec and bleach in 5 minutes.

To which, Trump responded. He said:

So, supposing we hit the body with a tremendous – whether it’s ultraviolet or just very powerful light and I think you said that hasn’t been checked but you’re going to test it. And then I said, suppose you brought the light inside of the body, which you can do either through the skin or in some other way. And I think you said you’re going to test that too. Sounds interesting

Trump

He didn’t stop with this, he said:

And then I see the disinfectant where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning?

So it’d be interesting to check that.

Trump

After this, doctors and companies we’re forced to address the world.

Lysol manufacturer Reckitt Benckiser warned the world that under no circumstances the products should be administered in human body.

Even the Dettol company reacted to it and all the doctors requested and warned people, not to take advice from Donald Trump.

Let’s see how people reacted on Twitter:

Source:

https://youtu.be/QtgVxGkrX1Y

https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/494454-lysol-maker-issues-warning-against-injections-of-disinfectant

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coronavirus Educational blogs Health & beauty Life-related blogs News and information politics and geopolitics

Modi’s macro actions have worked, now India needs micro focus.

After watching the video of the meeting broadcasted by TMC and reading the article on economic times, we can assume that the lockdown might extend for another two weeks.

Modi said that “the priority of the government is to save each and every life”.

But we need more weapons than just lockdown to fight with COVID-19.

Let’s read the opinion of Shekhar Gupta on Modi’s lockdown.

About three weeks back when India started testing selectively then they found that many people coming from overseas were tested positive along with their families that alarmed India to take such a massive action.

There was no major or widespread testing, India’s testing was very low compared to other countries ever lower than Pakistan which led to criticism.

Shekhar Gupta

This Indian lockdown is the severest n the world, the economist carried a chart based on studied by a group in Oxford which ranked the countries on a severity index on their response to COVID-19.

India topped the chart in the world, while India topped the chart according to the intensity of the lockdown, on the other side India was at the bottom of the chart when it came to a fiscal stimulus for the economy in terms of percentage of GDP.

So in severity, India was even ahead of Italy but in fiscal stimulus, India was lowest which you can understand because in the entire group India was by far the poorest of all other countries.

Must read:

In fact, the next poorest countries are China and Malaysia at five times per capita GDP than India.

India as it continues with the lockdown or extends it, it’s risky for the economy or our country. Though the upper or middle classes can overcome the lockdown, it’s the poor and farmers who will face difficulties as the engines of the economy have stopped. As many people live on daily wages for them the situation is critical, either not coronavirus hunger might kill them.

As Shekhar Gupta says unlike the US, India doesn’t have the ability to print money as Donald Trump is doing.

Let me explain, why

India follows a gold standard policy, under which every rupee is backed by a similar value of the gold reserve hence giving actual value to the piece of paper. On the other hand, almost all of the global trade happens over USD, as well as the US, being a resilient economy made it move away from Gold standards and instead make the ‘faith over the economy’ as it’s value driver.

What we need at this point now to find the major weapon or micro focus action and plan.

Also read:

Major possibilities to control, are:

  • Extend the lockdown
  • Completely lift the lockdown
  • Seal the hotspots and gradually lift the lockdown from other areas.

The third option might be a better option as some factories or companies will start fo work, like pharma factories which will again lead to commutation hence communication modes will start to operate but then the spreading of the virus can also spread faster.

So what’s your say in this, comment below. Let the nation know, citizen’s views.

References:

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coronavirus Educational blogs Life-related blogs

Trump asks Modi to help

US President Trump on a call with our prime minister Modi asked to release the amount of Hydroxychloroquine ordered by the United States.

It’s a medicine that can help his country to fight against the pandemic virus. So Trump asks to allow Indian Pharma companies to export Hydroxychloroquine doses.

In response, PM Modi assured by saying

” We will do what we can”.

According to Hindustan Times, India is saving up the drug for its population in the event of a worst-case scenario and will lift the export control order only after it has enough to take care of all Indians.

India is one of the largest manufacturers of hydroxychloroquine, which has been used for the treatment of malaria and lupus.

India is willing to be on the frontline of human clinical trials of a future Covid 19 vaccine with its body of highly professional doctors, laboratories and transparent feedback to the manufacturers. This may not be possible in African countries as well as in China.

We already know that our Prime Minister is in discussion with global leaders, SAARC leaders through phone and video calls, to fight against the pandemic.

As the number increased after Tablighi Jamaat congregation at Markaz Nizamuddin, India is seriously ramping up its pharmaceutical capacities too as there would be a price to pay to whoever develops the Covid-19 vaccine first.

Even the country is in lockdown, still, there is a spike in CoronaVirus cases not just because of Jamaat, even we can see people still gather in temples, marketplaces, few idiots holding up processions, even yesterday people gathered burning the torch in various parts of India.

Video captured by Saurabh in Bhagalpur, Bihar.
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Coronavirus-World in distress seeking answer from WHO & China

PART-2

To summarize Part 1,

  • The world already started to ask questions to the director-general of WHO – Dr Tedros.
  • The US has directly blamed the WHO of siding with China. 
  • China controls many votes in WHO due to its political relations with many countries who are almost dependent on China for its economic, military and political reasons. 
  • Why has not WHO, not for a single time mentioned the root cause of these viruses again emanating from these wet markets, which has been called my many institutions, research and even by Chinese citizens to be banned?

Read in details by clicking the link:

https://romieducation.com/2020/03/29/coronavirus-world-in-distress-seeking-answer-from-who-china/

Part-2 Continuous

Times have changed, and the truth is between 2002-03 and 2020, China is much bigger power, and the US is now a much lesser one. There were many warnings on these Wet markets on the basis of research of WHO itself as early as 2018 on the threat of new coronaviruses emanating from these places threatening the world as global pandemic.

What is funny that until Jan 23, WHO tweeted that there is no human to human transmission despite the fact that a Chinese epidemiologist Dr. Zhong Nanshan on Jan 20 made a statement that actually human to human transmission is possible. Note that Wuhan went on lockdown on Jan23.!!              

 Dr. Tedros himself went to China to check the facts twice, yet he found nothing wrong and in-fact praised Xi Jinping. It’s a slap in the face of humanity who rely on these institutions.

Xi Jinping

Now all this is coming back to haunt Dr. Tedros and his credibility, with demands growing for his resignation. If China found human to human transmission, why did it not inform the world pre-hand. It seems that WHO is caught in an awful situation of what science dictates and a powerful country. He came back and praised China of identifying the virus in record time. Great!! What do I do of it? The ill-informed world kept on travelling to and fro from China and especially to Wuhan which is the size and population of the likes of Delhi and Mumbai.

Speaking of dying, A German finance minister committed suicide due to financial implications arising out of this virus, global confirmed death has crossed 51,299(as per the updated report). Deaths in India due to this has crossed 53, and we all are bracing for much more.

Thomas Schaefer

In these grim situations, we as humans should maintain the ethos of humanity and help those in needs as much as possible.

Numerous countries have returned Chinese masks and protective gears claiming it to be of sub-standard quality.

In the meantime, many countries discussed better control over biological weapons and Coronavirus was mention, giving it significant traction.

It is to be noted that WHO in the reform of 2005 has the power to act on it, over questioning the states on cover-up and it can declare an international emergency even in the face of opposition, yet it did not choose to exercise them.

China, we see has become very powerful in the UN and it has the means to silence even large global institutions. It brings in money, jobs and Infrastructure. Case in point is WHO and China becoming partner in OBOR. (One Belt One Road). It is evident that there is a problem in the UN which has come out in open. China, we all know is an authoritarian state and its citizens have no right to dissent. Very bad things can happen to you if you write anything criticising the Government. To me this seems to be the mother of all problems.

A group of researchers already raised red flag saying that such an outbreak is imminent and when a new case of pneumonia came up and it did not respond to normal medicines, and a group of 8 doctors researched it and raised the alarm. A normal democratic country would have taken this seriously and sent out a larger research team. However, this is China, instead they send police to silence them, government mouthpiece started criticising them and making fun of them, until the first of those doctor’s Li Wenliang contracted the disease himself and died raising criticism from the citizens.

While the government is taking it steps to arrest this infection by taking measures never done before like ordering all bodies to be cremated irrespective of religion, which was withdrawn later.

Many responsible citizens are also coming up and helping the people in need.

Tweet at @JhaRahul_Bihar to provide support to labours. Actively helping poor people and labours by providing food and immediate assistance. Already reached and helped 1000s of labours.

I see people with reach and means helping the needy, and some common people as well doing their part with whatever capacities they have.

An initiative is taken by my friend for a noble cause.

In these grim situations, we as humans should maintain the ethos of humanity and help those in needs as much as possible.

Through Facebook and Twitter in the last three days, Prashant Bharti became the voice of many labours who were stuck in different parts of our country. He has already reached out to 500-600 people and provided them with all government facilities.

Twitter account of Mr Prashant Bharti https://twitter.com/Bhart_09?s=09

For any support and assistance, you can reach him out directly.

World is scrambling to find a cure, economies are in dismal state, destitute having faced double whip of loss of jobs and no access to food and water. Let’s help each other during the difficult times.